At the same time, the release of WoW Classic helped shorten the gap between the addons. I don't want this rushed, I felt like maybe BFA was. Making BFA an average duration expansion of almost 2 years. ). Typically when the alpha starts it's barely playable. 27 Sep. 2020: Monk's Energizing Elixir no longer incurs a GCD. I will list out the info on beta durations with the most current information I could find as of this post. Though I remain hopeful! It could be that they just suck now and are recovering from failed plans. What you wrote is very reasonable and likely, so kudos; I admire your pattern searching mind. Game-Goods 598 445 I just dont see it launching that soon. Praying for some class change announcements. They just did it when they could and felt like it was acceptable. THOUGH! The predictions have been running rampant in the WoW community since Blizzard has been radio silent regarding the release date of the Shadowlands pre-patch. Hope they will also tell something about Azeroth. Like one zone unlocked and half broken. I'm just going based on the constant dev rhetoric ever since legion it has been a common theme for them to bring up in dev interviews about the content pacing of expansions. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast, Press J to jump to the feed. A great presentation of Afterlives series with unbelievably thrilling story-line made us think of many predictions. Using the fact that no Alpha has been leaked to currently be up and no crazy datamining has been done yet we can assume it has not began yet. With a bit of guesstimation and assumption involved. So to further elaborate you can see that BFA has had the most staggered patches of all. Legion Beta = 282 Days (Demon hunter only alpha was available EXTREMELY early), BFA Beta = 113 Days (Or about 700 days if you listen to the memes! So I will do that next. Release Date & Launch Time. -------------------------------------------------------------. ----------------------------------------------------. Would they release alpha AND the new raid in the same month..? Add soulbinds. WoW's last patch of the expansion (I am only counting the major raid patches as the final patch and B side patch will be ignored) has always followed a scary trend of lasting a year or more since WotLK. Legion actually had well spaced patches as well except for the first patch. They said the whole point of it was to pump out content. So beta duration has such a big fluctuation. For World of Warcraft, we believe the bulk of the BlizzCon presentations will focus on the 9.0 expansion, themed around the Shadowlands.However, we could get a release date on Patch 8.3 Visions of N'Zoth, especially as a character wipe is coming on the PTR. Just from the spacing they have maintained all expansion I believe this will be the first expansion to have a reasonable final patch duration. Castle Nathria Raid Finder Wing 2 Now Live! If everything was going perfect this time around I could see an late Feb / early March Alpha and a mid-late September release, although I'd really expect something more like October or even November this time around. Others not so much. So rather than patches being "slow" to allow for more/earlier work on the expansion, patches could be "slow" because all hands are on deck trying to force out content, they're running behind schedule, and therefore likely are BEHIND on 9.0. 7.1 came only 2 months after launch. What could it be? On November 10th, Shadowlands pre-patch activities began. spoiler. Coincidence? I will adjust it in just a bit when I can sit down on the computer and update it. Then comes BFA where the patches are all very much in the 5-6 month range. 09 Sep. 2020: Innervate and Mana Tea removed from GCD. After the disaster that was BFA alpha/beta/release I hope they take their time this time around. As of legion they are trying to maintain a 5-6month patch cycle. Did you guys see the female blood elves xD Oh my god, someone at blizzard really hates female blood elves, and both of the human genders. ALSO MY FORMATTING ON REDDIT IS BAD. The other two patches were 155 day durations. It would be tied for longest expansion ever with MoP. I can’t believe that shadowlands will launch any sooner than august/September. Though due to other information I will list below I believe Alpha will begin very soon. After the release date is determined, the development team will continue with the pre-patch activities. PTR / Beta. Hope they will also tell something about Azeroth. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. WOW Shadowlands has a new release date and while fans are sharing their own predictions, we do know when to expect the World of Warcraft pre-patch to arrive. The thing is, blizzcon happens early november. If alpha starts this month an August release would put it right around the same amount of testing as every other expansion has had. Some gamers were … Shortly after Cyberpunk 2077 got delayed one more time until December 10, I had raised my suspicions that Blizzard would push World of Warcraft Shadowlands release date to December.No one would love to anticipate such a release. Alpha usually starts about 6 months before launch and closed beta typically gets announced 4 months before launch. If shadowlands launched on 10/1/2020. Nobody cares about couple of bugs, we just want new content. This again points to a July/August release for the expansion. Shadowlands Release before 15/11/2020. Feel free to correct me if I made mistakes and to discuss my opinion on this expansions duration. Prepatch hits Live – June 23rd, 2020. A similar schedule would put it at November 29th. Slap another 2 months onto the beta cycle if it means actually getting all of your shit tested instead of throwing the most fundamental core aspect of your expansion onto the beta quite literally 3 days before launching the game. In legion it was quick patch, 4.5month patch, 4.5 month patch, then long wait until prepatch. You can tell from the above and blizzard's constant interview answer of aiming for 2 years expansions. Prepatch on PTR is typically 2-3 months before the expansion launches. You see that a late July/Early august looks very likely. Hello! You can forget a word "balance", it will be replaced with "endless grind becausr new patch changes meta". This means the AddOn has to drop until the 16th anniversary. Though before this (every expansion except WoD) they released patches about every 4 months in EVERY expansion. ), ---------------------------------------------------. If it is, there will have not been enough testing done and people will likely dodge release for a month or 2 to see if it will suck like bfa. Closed Beta Start date – March 31st, 2020. 31 Aug. 2020: Updated with Beta Build 35598 and 35679 class … This is when it is due to be released. Blizzard hired some 700 or so new developers (not 100% on that number a bunch). WOW Shadowlands - Base Edition (US/NA) * World of Warcraft®: Shadowlands launches at 3:00 pm PST on 11/23/2020 Leveling up is not included in this edition !!!!! So the info overload for bfa came only 4 months before it launched. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------. Just release it asap. World of Warcraft: Shadowlands is reaching unprecedented heights in terms of both popularity and all-time sales. I am being optimistic a bit with the dates and I could just as likely see all of these dates being moved up 1month. World of Warcraft: Shadowlands is the eighth expansion pack for the massively multiplayer online role-playing game (MMORPG) World of Warcraft, following Battle for Azeroth.It was announced and made available for preorder at BlizzCon on November 1, 2019. There's gonna be a whole lot of bag space and grinding to get multiple binds. Mount? I like the thought about that date being set and hadn't even considered looking at past releases for that. 11 Oct. 2020: Rearranged sections. I can’t see them release the expansion within a month before that. By Gary Jones PUBLISHED: 01:29, Tue, Oct 6, 2020 wow shadowlands release date and launch time news Blizzard has confirmed that the new WoW Shadowlands release date has been set for November 23, 2020, in the United States. Shadowlands Release Delayed & Pre-patch Date October 1, 2020 October 1, 2020 2 min read Wow… so, in the end, while my release date prediction was originally spot on… the pre-patch guess was horribly wrong (it’s now slated for October 13) and with todays announcement, I’m retroactively wrong about the release date too ( see wowhead post ). Here's the Shadowlands release date trailer. I hope everyone enjoyed the data points and the thoughts along the way. You can see the opposite of this in WoD where they cut support early, cut their losses, and dropped a fast expansion. Patches had random durations. To be honest, I nailed it with my release date prediction. The last chunk of expansions have launched 11-13 months after announcement. Marketing wise, it’s also better to circumvent that. There always is that. So let’s mark that one down in my prediction … Which is all speculative but would likely be May/June 2020 if we assume this is an early august launch. Blizzard in its latest press release has announced that the game sold 3.7 million units on launch, making it the company’s fastest-selling game of all time. There were two exceptions to this. Kudos to OP for the analysis but people really shouldn't get their hope up. Which also lines up with the duration of betas if Alpha were to start this month. Which would leave 206 days left in this expansion which seems to be the goal patch duration this time around. I would argue that there is a possibility you're ignoring. My game just downloaded something (you know that green circle that shows up whenever something is downloaded on the background?). -------------------------------------------------------------------------. Seems unlikely. I don't think that will be the case due to several other reasons. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------. So what this means is that prior to legion they had not really had content pacing down. I'm sure it works more the other way around. There have been major major reworks to BFA mechanics that clearly weren't planned. 08 Oct. 2020: Updated for pre-patch. Cataclysm's last patch. I argue the other way around - I hope the expansion is a long one. 05 Sep. 2020: Added doubling of healing reduction effects. Basically I'm going to present the data for patch durations, beta durations, and total length for all expansions and use the averages from those. Making BFA an average duration expansion of almost 2 years. Meaning a November release would line up with historical patch duration for a final patch. A return to releases around the "holiday-sales-window" unfortunately seems much more likely. Bliz doesn't have very much goodwill left with the community. Though I did put my date as July I would not be surprised with late August at all. Release Date. While a lot of the gameplay coming up is great, they still have a terrible lack of social insight and are still race gating classes along with offering some of the worst hairstyles ever. I'd guess October or post-Blizzcon if we don't see a massive Alpha with lots of stuff on in the coming weeks (I agree with OP that we'll see it soon after 8.3). Jump Into This Week's PvP Brawl: Arathi Blizzard, Analysis of Shadowlands DPS After Week 4 of Castle Nathria - Third Week of Mythic, Venthyr Covenant Druid Form Fan Concept Art by Sercan Özyurt, Best and Worst Mythic+ Dungeons to Complete on Sanguine, Quaking, Fortified Weeks, Get a New Companion from Torghast This Week, January 7th Hotfixes - Beastwarrens Hunts Fixed, Atiesh, Greatstaff of the Guardian Completed by Players in WoW Classic, Torghast Twisting Corridors Account-wide Progression, Diablo Immortal Datamining - Barbarian Armor Sets, Blizzard Under DDoS Attack - High Latency and Disconnections. With the duration of testing being just over 1month and then it launches to live with a little over a month to go until the expansion launches. Then the next one to last less than a year was Legion. I will explain below. The expansion length though is a lot less flexible historically. The only thing that really throws me off is that the longest expansion ever was MoP. Reveal our Mogu allied race for the pre-expansion event please. Considering the expansion is far from ready and a summer release isn’t likely, my bet is on the prepatch being mid october and the expansion launching mid-late november (they also want some buffer to the holiday season). ((The way these averages are done is by averaging the duration of the time between the 3 major patches from each expansion except WoD which only had 2 major patches)) (((So this does not include the duration of the final patch until prepatch into the averages))), -----------------------------------------------------------------------------, WoD Patches - 223 Days (Only two patches, ouch.